CTJ Analysis of Bush Plan Updated to 2001 Levels

February 27, 2001 11:45 AM | | Bookmark and Share

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The tax cut plan advocated by President George W. Bush would target most of its benefits to the wealthiest taxpayers if fully enacted in 2001, according to an analysis of the plan released today by Citizens for Tax Justice. (Previous CTJ analyses measured the impact of the Bush plan at 1999 levels.) The analysis shows that more than sixty percent of Bush’s proposed tax cuts would go to the best-off 10 percent of Americans.

According to the analysis:

  • Taxpayers in the lowest 60 percent of the income scale would get only 12.7 percent of Bush’s tax cuts. Their average annual tax reduction would be $256.
  • The bottom 20 percent of taxpayers would see an average tax cut of $47 a year.
  • In contrast, the best-off 10 percent of all taxpayers would get 60.3 percent of Bush’s proposed tax cuts, and an average tax cut of $7,300 a year.
  • The wealthiest one percent of all taxpayers would get an average tax reduction of $54,480 a year–45 percent of the total tax cut.

The income tax cuts under the Bush plan would affect different demographic groups in substantially different ways, with larger average tax cuts going to married couples filing jointly and to families with children. In particular:

  • Married couples filing jointly, with a median 2001 income of $60,200, would receive an average income tax cut of $1,095 under the Bush plan. Unmarried taxpayers, with a median 2001 income of $22,800, would receive an average of $279.
  • Families with children, with a median 2001 income of $45,600, would receive an average income tax cut of $1,114. Taxpayers without children, with a median 2001 income of $30,000, would receive an average tax cut of $294.
  • Single parents, with a median income of $22,600, would receive an average of $326 under the Bush plan’s income tax provisions. Married non-elderly couples without children, with a median income of $63,900, would receive an average of $898.

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Proposed Tax Giveaways for Wealthiest 1% Would Pay for Medicare Prescription Coverage for Seniors

February 15, 2001 11:46 AM | | Bookmark and Share

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Click here to see this release in PDF format.

President George W. Bush’s proposed tax breaks for the best-off one percent of Americans would cost more than the total amount of money needed to pay for a comprehensive Medicare prescription drug benefit for all seniors, according to a study released today by Citizens for Tax Justice and USAction.

“Our choices are stark. Do we want to give 39 million senior citizens the respect they deserve with prescription drug coverage under Medicare? Or do we give $774 billion in tax giveaways to a million millionaires?” asked William McNary, President of USAction.

The report, Bad Policy, Bad Medicine, reveals that over a ten-year period the wealthiest one percent of Americans would receive $774 billion in tax breaks–while a fully funded comprehensive Medicare prescription drug benefit for America’s seniors would cost a net of $738 billion.

“Last year, Dick Cheney famously claimed that he had to vote against Head Start in the early 1980s because he had voted for the 1981 Reagan corporate and upper-income tax cuts instead,” noted Robert S. McIntyre, director of Citizens for Tax Justice. “Well, we’re seeing the same thing again this year. President Bush says we can’t afford anything but a miserly prescription drug plan because he wants to use all available resources for tax breaks for the rich.”

“A narrow slice of the population–the wealthiest one percent, whose incomes average over one million dollars–would receive 43 percent of the total Bush tax cuts,” McIntyre pointed out.

Seniors have been the victims of skyrocketing drug costs and have greater out-of-pocket prescription costs as a percentage of their incomes than any other group.

“My wife and I pay $18,400 annually for prescription medication and supplemental premiums,” said Bill McHugh, a retiree from Narberth, PA. “This is an enormous hardship. I’m a Republican,” noted McHugh, “and though I would realize some savings from this tax cut, I think the President has wrongly prioritized his agenda. He should pass a comprehensive Medicare prescription benefit, rather than giving a huge tax windfall to millionaires.”

“President Bush has made his choice clear. He favors a huge tax cut for the wealthy and an inadequate prescription drug plan that will only help one percent of seniors, “said John Marvin, Regional Director of the Association of Retired Americans and board member of USAction. “Today we are calling on Congress to put first things first. Take care of filling the prescriptions for our seniors instead of filling the bank accounts of one million millionaires.”


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Bush Tax Cuts Would Save George and Laura Almost $100,000 a Year

February 12, 2001 11:48 AM | | Bookmark and Share

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President George W. Bush has proposed a tax cut plan that would give some 43 percent of its tax cuts to the best-off one percent of all taxpayers. Recently, Bush cheerfully characterized himself as a member of that elite group. That’s certainly true. In fact, based on the non-wage income the Bushes reported on their 1999 tax returns plus the $400,000 presidential salary, the Bushes are likely to report total adjusted gross income in each of the next several years in excess of $2 million annually.

So how would the Bush tax cut plan affect the President and his wife?

The following table looks at the likely effects of the Bush income tax cuts on George W. and Laura Bush, from 2002 when the plan begins to be phased in through 2006 when the income tax cuts are fully in place. The figures show that by the time the tax cuts are fully in place, the Bushes can expect a reduction in their federal income tax bill of almost $100,000 a year.

Effects of the Bush Income Tax Cuts on George W. & Laura Bush
Year by Year Estimates as the Tax Plan is Phased In
(Non-wage income & deductions are based on what the Bushes reported in 1999)
  2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Salary $ 400,000 $ 400,000 $ 400,000 $ 400,000 $ 400,000
Capital gains 669,000 716,000 766,000 820,000 877,000
Interest 957,000 1,024,000 1,096,000 1,173,000 1,255,000
Dividends 106,000 113,000 121,000 129,000 138,000
Adjusted gross income 2,132,000 2,253,000 2,383,000 2,522,000 2,670,000
Deductions—
Gross deductions 93,000 98,000 103,000 108,000 113,000
Deduction disallowed –60,000 –63,000 –67,000 –71,000 –76,000
Net deductions 33,000 35,000 36,000 37,000 37,000
Taxable income 2,039,000 2,155,000 2,280,000 2,414,000 2,557,000
Taxable w/o capital gains 1,370,000 1,439,000 1,514,000 1,594,000 1,680,000
Income tax
Current law 647,400 683,400 722,400 764,100 808,800
Bush plan 627,700 650,600 673,000 698,600 709,000
Tax Cut Each Year $ –19,700 $ –32,800 $ –49,400 $ –65,500 $ –99,800
Note: figures do not include the effects of the Bush estate tax repeal or corporate tax breaks.
Citizens for Tax Justice, Feb. 12, 2001

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When Would the Bush Tax Plan Take Effect?

February 12, 2001 11:47 AM | | Bookmark and Share

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Advocates of President Bush’s proposed $1.6 trillion tax cut argue that the plan’s tax reductions are needed in order to stimulate the economy. Yet all of the costliest provisions of George W. Bush’ tax proposal are phased in over a number of years. This means that the actual tax cuts experienced by taxpayers during the first several years after passage would be substantially less than the “fully phased in” tax cuts described in previous CTJ analyses. The following analysis estimates the average tax cuts accruing to taxpayers at each income level during the first three years after enactment, and describes the schedule according to which the Bush plan’s various provisions would be enacted.

 

Average Tax Cuts under the Bush Tax Plan in Its First Three Years
    Average
Income
Average Bush tax cuts in:
Income group Income Range 2002 2003 2004
Lowest 20% Less than $16,000 $ 10,020 $ –15 $ –25 $ –37
Second 20% $16,000–29,000 22,400 –71 –121 –174
Middle 20% $29,000–48,000 37,500 –170 –286 –409
Fourth 20% $48,000–79,000 61,400 –316 –513 –761
Next 15% $79,000–159,000 106,000 –588 –884 –1,352
Next 4% $159,000–397,000 226,000 –1,043 –1,390 –2,102
Top 1% $397,000 or more 1,164,000 –13,469 –18,859 –31,201
Average tax cuts are shown by calendar years in each year’s dollars. Average incomes and income ranges are estimates for calendar 2003.
Source: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy Tax Model.
Citizens for Tax Justice, Feb. 8, 2001
  • The poorest twenty percent of taxpayers would, on average, receive a $15 tax cut in tax year 2002, the first year for which the Bush plan would affect federal revenues. By tax year 2004, the average tax cut for this group would increase to $37.
  • The twenty percent of taxpayers in the middle of the income distribution would receive an average of $170 in tax cuts under the Bush plan in 2002, and an average of $409 in 2004.
  • The average tax cut accruing to the top 1 percent of taxpayers–those earning more than $397,000 in 2003–would be $13,469 in 2002, and would increase to $31,201 in tax year 2004.

All of the income tax rate reductions proposed under the Bush plan would be phased in gradually between tax years 2002 and 2006. The proposed new “ten percent” rate would actually be a 14 percent rate in 2002, and would decline by a single percentage point each year until 2006, when the 10 percent rate would take effect. The other reduced tax rates would also be fully effective only in 2006. The doubling of the child credit–and the increase in the phase-out of the credit–would take effect over the same time period.


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The Bush Tax Plan and “Average” Families

February 8, 2001 11:49 AM | | Bookmark and Share

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On February 8, President Bush submitted a tax cut proposal to Congress that is patterned after a $1.6 trillion ten-year tax reduction proposed by candidate Bush during the 2000 presidential campaign.

Bush has claimed that under his plan, the “average” family would receive a tax cut of $1,600. However, this claim is misleading.

  • Almost ninety percent of taxpayers would receive less than $1,600 in tax cuts if the Bush plan were fully implemented in 1999.
  • Moreover, 27 percent of taxpayers would receive no tax cut at all under the Bush plan.
Number of Taxpayers With Little or No Income Tax Cut
Under George W. Bush’s Tax Plan
(Numbers of taxpayers in thousands)
Income Group Number of
tax units
Income Range Average
Income
# with No
Tax Cut
% # with Less
Than $1,600
Tax Cut
%
Lowest 20% 25,323 Less than $13,600 $ 8,600 18,945 74.8% 25,323 100.0%
Second 20% 25,324 $13,600–24,400 18,800 9,341 36.9% 25,324 100.0%
Middle 20% 25,325 $24,400–39,300 31,100 3,267 12.9% 24,906 98.3%
Fourth 20% 25,326 $39,300–64,900 50,700 663 2.6% 23,160 91.4%
Next 15% 18,994 $64,900–130,000 86,800 641 3.4% 11,591 61.0%
Next 4% 5,065 $130,000–319,000 183,000 559 11.0% 2,689 53.1%
Top 1% 1,264 $319,000 or more 915,000 144 11.4% 358 28.3%
ALL 127,585   $ 50,800 34,526 27.1% 114,315 89.6%
ADDENDUM
Bottom 60% 75,972 Less than $39,300 $ 19,500 31,553 41.5% 75,553 99.4%
Top 10% 12,660 $92,500 or more 218,000 945 7.5% 5,432 42.9%
Source: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy Tax Model.
Citizens for Tax Justice, August 2000, updated 2/7/2001

The Bush plan would treat married couples more generously than other tax filers. The typical married couple filing jointly would receive an income tax cut of $1,028 under the Bush plan, when it is fully in place in 2006.

But the typical single taxpayer would get only $249 from the Bush plan. In contrast, counting all the elements of the Bush tax program, the best off one percent of all taxpayers would get an average annual tax cut of $46,000 (in 1999 dollars)– almost 43 percent of the total tax cut.


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