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New Jersey and Ohio don’t have much in common when it comes to their gambling industries.  New Jersey’s Atlantic City is home to a dozen different casinos, the oldest of which has been in operation for over three decades.  Ohio, on the other hand, only legalized casino gambling in 2009, and its first two casinos opened barely a month ago.

But despite their differing backgrounds, all signs from both states are pointing to the same thing: legalized gambling isn’t the revenue miracle that lawmakers often promise.

In New Jersey, a brand new mega-casino called Revel is already a disappointment.  Even with the opening of Revel’s 2,500 slot machines, 120 table games, 1,800 rooms, and 14 restaurants, Atlantic City’s gambling revenues are down nearly 10 percent overall compared to a year ago.

And the explanation from gambling industry analysts (and anyone else who’s been paying attention)? Market saturation. With casinos popping up across the country, gamblers no longer need to travel to distant gambling destinations, and states that rely on casino revenue are increasingly raising that money from their own residents rather than pulling in the coveted out-of-state dollar.

In Ohio, meanwhile, recent reports indicate that the state’s new casinos will cut deeply into the casino revenues in Indiana, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.  Even so, a recent survey by the Cincinnati Enquirer found little optimism among Ohio’s local governments when it comes to the gambling revenues they expect to collect. “Everybody thinks it’s going to fix the world, and it isn’t … I have a hard time believing we have so many people around there that have this kind of money to throw into casinos,” says one county official. According to another, “This is all a big shell game … We’re not really getting anything. All the new money we’re getting is going to be offset by cuts in [state aid].” And in Ohio, the state cuts to cities and counties continue to mount.

For more on the empty promise of gambling revenue, read this policy brief (PDF) from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP).